Submit and See Weather Pics

e-mail Dave

Dave's Twitter

Dave's Facebook

Read My Personal Blog

Back to KSBY.com

To comment on a post, click the title and comment box will appear.

Subscribe to RSS Feed

 

January 2015
M T W T F S S
« Dec    
 1234
567891011
12131415161718
19202122232425
262728293031  

Archives

Onshore flow returns for a short stay

by Dave Hovde, KSBY Meteorologist

The pattern of the week has been offshore winds in the night and morning hours with weak afternoon onshore winds, however a more significant onshore push is developing Friday afternoon and evening. This should return some marine low clouds and cooler highs in the 60s and 70s.

Sunday and Monday the offshore winds are back and we’ll see plenty of 70s (mid 70s in coastal valleys) and generally clear skies. The larger question looms about rain chances next week. I don’t think there is much of a chance until Friday at the earliest and models still steer the best chance north of the Central Coast but at least it is something to consider as the jet pattern looks a little friendlier down the road.

Jan 29th, 2015 weather watcher report

by Dave Hovde, KSBY Meteorologist

Arroyo Grande 51/72
Atascadero 39/68
CA Valley 44/64
Cambria 56/69
Corbett Canyon 50/75
Cuyama 46/70
Goleta 53/75
Grover Beach 50/69
Guadalupe 46/72
Lompoc 48/73
Los Osos 47/72
Morro Bay 56/71
Oceano 46/72
Orcutt 52/72
Paso Robles 38/68
Pismo Beach 49/64
San Luis Obispo 44/75
San Miguel 40/69
Santa Barbara 58/78
Santa Maria 48/75
Santa Ynez 46/72
Shandon 36/70
Shell Beach 49/64
Solvang 47/75
Templeton 39/69
Vandenberg AFB 52/67

Looks like we will wait at least a week for rain

by Dave Hovde, KSBY Meteorologist

Low clouds in valley locations marked the beginning of Thursday but other than that offshore winds will help temps for most get into the 70s today, and not a lot of change on Friday other than onshore winds developing in the afternoon could return some marine low clouds to the coast in the evening into Saturday morning. Temps will fall a few degrees over that time frame.

Sunday and Monday the offshore winds are back and we’ll see plenty of 70s and generally clear skies. The larger question looms about rain chances next week. I don’t think there is much of a chance until Friday at the earliest and models still steer the best chance north of the Central Coast but at least it is something to consider as the jet pattern looks a little friendlier down the road.

Jan 28th, 2015 weather watcher report

by Dave Hovde, KSBY Meteorologist

Arroyo Grande 45/70
Atascadero 42/60
CA Valley 58/44
Cambria 54/70
Corbett Canyon 53/67
Cuyama 47/57
Goleta 49/68
Hearst Castle 48/65
Lompoc 46/68
Los Osos 50/67
Morro Bay 57/66
Paso Robles 40/61 .01″
Pismo Beach 50/70
Pozo 38/62
San Luis Obispo 46/68
San Miguel 42/65
Santa Barbara 54/71
Santa Maria 49/71
Santa Ynez 45/68
Shandon 38/61
Shell Beach 50/70
Solvang 46/71
Templeton 42/60
Vandenberg AFB 45/68

Clouds could produce a few drops but we still wait for better opportunities

by Dave Hovde, KSBY Meteorologist

The weather feature this week has been upper-lows. We had one Monday night into Tuesday which produced less than .25” for most of the area and another to our south will bring more mid and upper level clouds later today into tonight, it is possible that some sprinkles or a light shower could be produced from the feature however the lower levels of air may absorb whatever falls. It shows up on radar as an echo, but when it evaporates of the way down we call it virga and that may be the case later today.

The sub-tropical nature of the air means we’ll still see plenty of high temps over the next few days near 70 despite some cloud cover, definitely not a winter pattern.

The lower level wind pattern is offshore and mild until Friday when it turns back onshore, I think we’ll see some marine layer reformation near the coast and temps tumble back a few degrees but nothing significant. Sunday and Monday the offshore winds are back and we’ll see plenty of 70s and generally clear skies.

The larger question looms about rain chances next week, they have backed up a bit into the later portion of the week but at least models are liking the notion. The problem is the outlooks are not lining up on the details yet. Suffice to say we badly need the rain, and at least there is some indication the pattern could change. I will update you as we get some clarity.

Jan. 27th, 2015 weather watcher report

by Dave Hovde, KSBY Meteorologist

Arroyo Grande 55/70 .08″
Atascadero 50/65 .16″
CA Valley 47/59 .09″
Cambria 53/70 .16″
Corbett Canyon 53/71 .09″
Cuyama 49/61 .06″
Goleta 54/67 .09″
Hearst Castle 48/65 .26″
Lompoc 54/70 .09″
Los Osos 55/69 .11″
Morro Bay 55/69 .07″
Paso Robles 50/67 .15″
Pismo Beach 55/65 .07″
Pozo 51/63 .11″
San Luis Obispo 53/69 .05″
Santa Barbara 57/71 .11″
Santa Maria 57/71 .11″
Santa Ynez 50/64 .11″
Shandon 47/69 .27″
Shell Beach 55/65 .07″
Solvang 50/71 .18″
Templeton 50/64 .20″
Vandenberg AFB 52/63 .04″

Mild temps and offshore winds until late this week

by Dave Hovde, KSBY Meteorologist

Our rain making system is already gone and behind it offshore winds will start to pick up into Wednesday morning, some gusts could exceed 25 mph. Offshore will still be there Thursday morning but not quite as strong.

I think both Wednesday and Thursday will have occasional high cloud cover but highs will be in the 70s for most, above average (which has been the story much of the winter).

Thursday evening into early Saturday looks like a more typical onshore pattern resumes and we could see some low clouds near the coast but temps still stay very pleasant but the balance of the weekend could feature a little offshore flow again and another round of dry and mild conditions.

If you are hoping for rain you had better hope the models come to some agreement about the middle of next week, several feature rain but others stay dry. Every passing week with missed rain opportunities increases likelihood of drought issues later this year. Feb. is when we are supposed to pile on the rain.

Rain from Monday night’s storm system

by Dave Hovde, KSBY Meteorologist

San Luis Obispo County

Cambria 0.16
Point Piedras Blancas 0.11
Slo – Cal Poly 0.09
Pismo Beach 0.07
Morro Bay 0.07
San Luis Obispo 0.05
Oceano 0.04
San Luis Harbor 0.03
Rocky Butte 0.23
Las Tablas 0.21
Upper Toro Creek Road 0.16
Santa Margarita 0.16
Atascadero 0.16
Paso Robles 0.14
Salinas Dam 0.12
Lake Lopez 0.09
Bald Mountain 0.04
Shandon 0.23
Black Mountain 0.16
La Panza 0.06
Branch Mountain 0.05
Carrizo Plain 0.02

Santa Barbara County

Los Alamos 0.20
Cachuma Dam 0.15
Los Prietos 0.14
Santa Ynez 0.11
Solvang 0.10
Sisquoc 0.09
Buellton 0.09
Sudden Peak 0.08
Lompoc 0.08
New Cuyama 0.05
Vandenberg 0.04
Santa Maria 0.02
Maria Ygnacio Ridge 0.23
Santa Barbara 0.13
Gaviota Coast 0.12
Ktyd Tower 0.09
Santa Barbara (Goleta Airport) 0.09
Montecito Hills 0.09
Carpinteria 0.07
West Big Pine 0.47
Gibraltar Dam 0.21
San Marcos Pass 0.21
Refugio Pass 0.11
El Deseo 0.10

Jan 26th, 2015 weather watcher report

by Dave Hovde, KSBY Meteorologist

There are some rain reports since 4pm, but this weather watcher report is for the 24 hour period from 4pm the prior day to this afternoon so the rain reports will be in tomorrow’s post.

Arroyo Grande 56/74
Atascadero 60/39
CA Valley 39/66
Cambria 54/71
Cuyama 46/68
Goleta 50/76
Lompoc 58/75
Morro Bay 54/69
Paso Robles 37/61
Pismo Beach 54/69
San Luis Obispo 47/75
Santa Barbara 56/77
Santa Maria 49/76
Santa Ynez 46/73
Shandon 38/63
Shell Beach 54/69
Solvang 45/74
Templeton 38/60
Vandenberg AFB 54/73

There are rain chances, but no soaker expected

by Dave Hovde, KSBY Meteorologist

Big change in the weather from the pattern this weekend that produced the widespread record highs.

That ridge of high pressure has lost its dominant position and an area of low pressure traveling north from Mexico will pump in more clouds, sub-tropical air and a chance for rain. This is a very non-seasonal rain chance for us, more summer-like than winter-like.

There are a few problems, one is that the surface low pressure is very weak with the system meaning the dynamics to cause heavy rains are missing. Secondly, the recent warm weather was also dry air so it’ll take some work to moisten it up to produce much rain. Thirdly, several models keep the bulk of moisture supply just a little too far east.

Some showers may develop later on tonight into Tuesday, but I expect we’ll see less than .25” of rain, and there is a chance very little (or no) measurable rain will fall locally. We are on the edge of the moisture plume, so it is not an easy call on the low end.

By Wednesday we are back to some offshore wind locally, and mild temps. There is a slight rain chance late in the week, but a better chance the middle of next week.